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The defensive side of the cycle (D Incumbents and Open by D offices)

After some time without writing here, my wish is to give my impression looking at the first numbers of the cycle.As always my point is based in numbers. After some work with the numbers I attempt to do...

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Maryland 8-0 map

Maryland is one of the few states where the Democrats can draw maps improving the current Democratic representation.The worst part of the redistricting process is hidden still. The Republicans have...

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The worst obstacle for the peace in the Basque Country

As basque native I'm shocked still by the succession of good, really good news that come from my native country. It is like to live a dream.After long work talking about, the last monday we live first...

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Rating chart for 2012 races: Defensive side of the cycle

This is the first edition of my mathematical rating for this cycle. As always, this rating chart is made following mathematical criteria that are the same for every race.The rating chart is for all the...

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The defensive side of the cycle is well organized [updated to June-end + map]

The tittle of the diary is also the conclusion. The political fight will be hard until november, but I think the Democratic Party will face up to this challenge from a good basis of good candidates...

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The defensive side of the cycle (updated until Nov 6)

Under the defensive side of the cycle is a way that want to find the easier offices until tie the current number of offices in Democratic hands in every level of power.To tie the number of the offices...

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Looking at gains for the cycle 2011-12

This is my first diary looking forward, looking at the gains. Until now I have looked back more in the spirit of detecting the troubles in must-win races and noting the need for a solution. At this...

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Elections in the Basque Country

Some days ago I posted in the comments of the Live Digest that the Lehendakari (President) of the Autonomous Community of the Basque Country has called early elections on October 21 for this part, the...

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My final 2012 Prediction

In this diary I will list the races and the offices that I think will be in Democratic hands after today's elections in the following levels:- President and Vicepresident (by state) - Senate -...

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Challenging Republican Senators and Governors

First I will begin giving the results of my research about who performed better in the last elections in the bluest states.Following this conditions:- To take Democratic or Democratic leaning...

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Challenging Republican Senators and Governors II

Today we are looking at the states with less Democratic support. In this states is difficult to think about the Democratic Party as the leading party, then the approach will be a little different.In...

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2013-14 election cycle first preview

The new cycle begins and it is necessary to look at it from an overall overview. As always.Before to begin we must remember that:- The US Senators that will run the for reelection come from the 2007-08...

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2013-14 Election cycle Recruitment

While the Republicans begin the cycle with a little advantage in the Recruitment of this cycle, thanks to some early Recruitment, they have some unexpected failures that let the current situation in a...

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Illinois: 18D-0R US House map

A long time ago I promised to draw this map, and here it is.This is a map finding the limits.Requirements:To draw a map with all the districts safe for the Democratic Party. To draw a map respecting...

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New Jersey: 10D-2R US House map

New Jersey has one of the worst congressional maps for the Democratic party. I hope you can see in this diary why I tell it. The current balance of power in the congressional delegation from New Jersey...

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Redistricting US House maps for HI, VT, RI, MA, DE, CT, ME and NH

This diary will include the maps finding the limits for the states that have actually only Democrats in their delegations to the US House. Then today's maps would not give gains to the Democratic...

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Washington: 10D-0R US House map

This is a new map following the idea of finding the limits for a Democratic map of several states. Where are the limits for a Democratic map of the state of Washington? You can see the limits today.The...

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Redistricting US House maps for NM and NV

This diary continues with the series finding the limits for a Democratic maps. You can see maps for other states in the links of this diary.Until now, the states drawed in this series are states that...

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2014 Rating chart (february 25)

This is my rating chart updated to february 25, 2014:Click in the image, to see it in larger size. First it will open the image in photobucket and then you can zoom to see the image in the natural...

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2014 Rating chart for the election cycle (April 1)

This is my rating chart updated to April 1, 2014:Click in the image, to see it in larger size. First it will open the image in photobucket and then you can zoom to see the image in the natural...

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The path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 (with poll to...

This cycle, the strongest political fight is about the majority in the US Senate. Both parties are fighting desperately to have the majority after 2014 elections, and the things are close.For 2014,...

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The path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 II (with poll)

This diary is the second part of a little series of diaries that will try to find the path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after the elections of 2018 thanks to some polls included in the...

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The path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 III (with poll)

This diary is the third step in a little series of diaries that talk and find the path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 elections. If you wish, you can know more about the previous...

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The path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 IV (with poll)

Today we have the forth diary in this little series, that want to talk and to find the path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 elections. If you wish, you can know more about the...

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The path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 Final (with poll)

The last diary of this little series finding the path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 elections is in. With today's diary the series is finished. Even the results of today's poll...

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2014 Rating chart for the election cycle (May 1)

This is my rating chart updated to May 1, 2014:Click in the image, to see it in larger size. First it will open the image in photobucket and then you can zoom to see the image in the natural size.First...

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Redistricting US House maps for MN and IA

With the time, the initial temporary maps, becomed in a series of maps, that find the limits for a Democratic Gerrymander of an increasing number of states. Being a person that like doable things I...

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Colorado: 6D-1R US House map

This is a new step in the series of maps finding the limits for a Democratic Gerrymander. Today's maps are about Colorado.I recently published als maps for Minnesota and Iowa. It requieres a work to...

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2014 Rating chart for the election cycle (August 1)

This is my rating chart updated to August 1, 2014:First some detail about the chart.

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Prediction of the results 2014

This is my prediction for this night. Having little time, I will explain more the diary, but the prediction is in.These are the offices that the Democratic party can win this cycle (incluiding the...

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It seems not a wave, It seems more local mistakes in the strategy of the...

The analysis of the results can lead to call 2014 a Republican wave year, but looking at them carefully, this is not the impression that I have.There is not doubt that 2014 has been a year with a...

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Spain executed the President of Catalonia

Yes a President of Catalonia has been killed by Spain. No it is not Artur Mas, it is not today. But there is a day where Spain killed the President of Catalonia.This day was October 15, 1940. The...

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Recruitment options for a Democratic majority in the US House in 2016

It is not easy to do a strong recruitment for the seats in Republican hands. These seats are the seats where the Democratic party failed until now, but the Democratic party need to try.The last cycles...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus I

The race for the replacement of long term veteran senator B Boxer begins after the announcement of her retirement. It is time of looking forward, and this is what this little series of diaries want to...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus II

The second step in the Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016 begins.First we can see the provisional results from the first edition.  CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus IPROVISIONAL RESULTSThe people...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus III

Today we have the third step in this little series. The Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.These are the provisional results from the previous two editions.  CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus ICA-Sen 2016:...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus IV

Today we have the 4th step in this little series. The Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.These are the provisional results from the previous three editions.  CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus ICA-Sen 2016:...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus V

Today there is the 5th step in this little series. The Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.These are the provisional results from the previous four editions.  CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus ICA-Sen 2016:...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus VI

And here is the 6th step in this little series. The Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016. The following diary, tomorrow morning will be the Final Vote with all the politicians who qualified these...

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CA-Sen 2016: Daily Kos Caucus Final Vote

Today is the big day, the day of the final vote in the Daily Kos Caucus for CA-Sen 2016.In the previous diaries, the readers have done the selection of the politicians that will be here today. The...

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The path for a Democratic victory in 2016

In this diary I will explain how I see the political situation and what would be for me the path for a Democratic victory in the Presidential election of 2016. The diary will include also some note...

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Breaking News: The parliament of Catalonia approved to begin the Democratic...

Today the new Parliament of Catalonia approved to begin the process of Democratic Disconnection from Spain. It is a very important step toward the Independence of Catalonia.To read the original...

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July-August 2016 Fundraising Alert for the Democratic Party candidates.

Welcome to this diary that wants to be a call to wake up the fundraising for Democratic candidates that are being surpased in the financial side of their races.In my opinion, based on the analysis of...

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2016 Elections Prediction (PR, USSEN, GOV, USHOU, LG, SEOffices, SChambers)

After analyzing lots of data of all the cycle including the last polls, like every cycle here is what I see in the numbers.The analysis includes:- Presidential results.- US Senate results.-...

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The fascism remains present in Spain with the PP (see it in youtube)

Just today is a sad day in my native country. Just today is the 80th anniversary of the Bombing of Gernika.I have been silent lately, but I want you see how the fascism remains living in the Spanish...

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Catalonia votes despite the Spanish violence (first official results)

I want you have another view of what is happening in Catalonia today. Out of the official new standards you will have in this diary a collection of data and graphic documents of what is happening.The...

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Catalonia declares Independence and suspends it to allow efforts of mediation...

Not easy to say exactly which are the terms of what happened today in Catalonia. The media is not giving accurate information then is not easy to link to sources.First is necessary to remember that is...

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Democratic US House seats potentially endangered in 2022.

List of US House seats potentially endangered for 2022, in different degrees:Calculus based on the 2020 result for the Democratic winner of the seat compared with the national reference average...

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Republican seats and offices potentially endangered for the next election

List of Republican seats and statewide offices potentially endangered in different degrees, in the next election.Even if we do not know still the nature of the following cycles, it is always positive...

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Catalonia: Important victory of the parties pro-Independence on Feb 14...

Important victory of the parties pro-Independence, in the elections of the last sunday, February 14 in Catalonia.In the middle of a pandemic wave, all the political parties of Catalonia, except the...

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